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Momentum Dashboard
Spot when a stock is likely to lose steam and reverse, top or bottom, read in plain English, backed by 10-year tested signals.
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State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY$743.29▼ −0.99%Broad index
Truffle explainsAISPY is calm right now, no top or bottom setup. Nothing pressing to act on.
Markets are calm. Neither a top nor a bottom setup is active right now (top risk 30, bottom opportunity 11). Signal check: Trend Reclaim confirmed 5 sessions ago.
NeutralRegime 50/100Top risk 30 · Warming upBottom opp 11 · Quiet
Price
Truffle Signals⚠️ Caution· quiet⭐ Washout Bottom· quietTrend Reclaim· stood down
Master reversal gauge Top risk Bottom opportunity
Think of it as an exhaustion meter: the red line rises as a rally gets stretched and tired (topping risk), the green line rises as a sell-off gets overdone (bottoming chance). Near the dotted 60 line = pay attention. Drag or zoom either chart, this one moves in step with the price chart above, so you can line up gauge peaks with what price was doing.
How to read this dashboard (in plain English)
What is this?
Truffle watches a stock and tells you, in plain language, whether it looks like it's near a top (time to be careful) or a bottom (a possible buying spot), so you don't have to read charts like a pro.
Top risk & bottom opportunity (0–100)
Top risk measures how stretched and tired an up-move looks, the higher it climbs, the more caution is warranted. Bottom opportunity is the mirror image: how washed-out a sell-off looks, and whether buyers may be ready to step back in. The gauge chart shows both over time so you can see momentum building.
Caution, Washout Bottom & Trend Reclaim (your signals)
⚠️ Caution is the top signal (research name: Pico Top). On single stocks it fires when a strong stock's engine quietly starts losing power while the price still looks fine; on broad indexes (SPY, QQQ…) it runs a separate methodology tuned for indexes, firing when the index is stretched far above trend while the crowd is fully invested. The bottom side has two types: ⭐ Washout Bottom (dark green) fires when a beaten-down stock shows the first real sign of buyers returning after true capitulation, and Trend Reclaim (light green, research name Dip Buy) fires when a shallow pullback holds inside a strong uptrend, a momentum reclaim, not a crash bottom. Trend Reclaim adapts to what it's watching: on regular stocks it only considers market leaders (beating SPY over 60 days), and on semiconductor names, which punish casual dip-buying, it waits for a rare, strict setup: a test of the rising 50-day line in a healthy chip sector with momentum still alive. Each signal "confirms" or "invalidates" over the following days, so you know whether to act or stand down, that's what the markers on the price chart show.
Trend regime
A quick read on the bigger picture: is the stock broadly in an uptrend or a downtrend right now, and how long it's been there. Reversal signals matter more when they go against a stretched trend.
The research behind it
These signals aren't guesses, they were back-tested over 10 years across many stocks, and every number we quote is measured from the moment a signal fires, the same moment you would see it. We re-audited our own stats in July 2026 and retired the ones that only looked good in hindsight. What survived: Washout Bottom fires were profitable about 2 in 3 times over the following month, deep-crash reclaims about 3 in 4 over two months, and Trend Reclaim about 2 in 3 over a month. Caution is a risk flag, not a prediction: it marks stretched conditions where chasing has historically been costly. No signal predicts the future.